Document Type : Original Article
Authors
1 PhD Candidate in Sports Management, Islamic Azad University, Science and Research Branch, Tehran.
2 Assistant professor of sport management department, science and research branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.
3 Assistant Professor of the Futures Studies Department at the National Research Institute for Science Policy, Tehran, Iran.
Abstract
This study identifies key factors driving the future development of taekwondo in Iran. It also offers practical strategies to enhance the sport's success. Futures studies are crucial in sports, especially with rapid technological advancements. This research looks at what influences taekwondo's future in Iran. Using qualitative methods, the study employs structural analysis through MICMAC software. Researchers collected data via questionnaires from 87 taekwondo experts, including champions, coaches, referees, and managers. Expert panel discussions also contributed to the findings. Ultimately, 17 key factors were identified and analyzed. The main influences on taekwondo's future in Iran include financial resources, standardised sports facilities, up-to-date technology, capable management, medal achievements, and international collaborations. The analysis shows that technology, management, and medal achievements have high impact but low dependency, making them essential input factors. Conversely, financial resources and sports facilities are risk factors, as changes here could significantly affect the system. Additionally, financial resources, sports facilities, and international positions are strategic components. The study concludes with practical recommendations: short term—securing financial resources and equipment; medium term—enhancing athlete awareness and coach development; long term—comprehensive development and promoting sports culture. This research serves as a roadmap for sports managers and the Iranian Taekwondo Federation in creating sustainable development strategies for the sport.
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