Document Type : Original Article
Authors
1 , Department of Physical Education and Sport Sciences, Mo.C., Islamic Azad University, Isfahan, Iran
2 Assistant Professor in Sport Management, Department of Sport Management, Faculty of Physical Education and Sport Sciences, Mobarakeh Branch, Islamic Azad University, Isfahan, Iran.
3 Assistant Professor, Department of Physical Education and Sport Sciences, Mo.C., Islamic Azad University, Isfahan, Iran
Abstract
The purpose of this study was Future Analysis of Women’s Health-Oriented Sports in Iran Using Causal Layered Analysis (CLA). The present research, from an inductive approach perspective, is fundamental in orientation, qualitative in data collection, futures studies in strategy, and part of the complexity theory paradigm. The participants of this study consisted of experts and specialists from diverse fields such as sports science, sports sociology, sports psychology, nutrition, women's sports policy-making, and media. The sampling method was purposive, and 21 interviews were conducted based on theoretical saturation. The data were analyzed using the Causal Layered Analysis method. Causal Layered Analysis enables the analysis of topics across four layers—litany, discourse/worldview, and myth/metaphor—to uncover deep cultural and metaphorical roots. To develop future scenarios for women's health-oriented sports in Iran, the "Uncertainty Matrix" method was used. Two variables, "the level of support and investment in women's sports" and "the level of societal attitude change toward women's sports," were selected as the main axes of the matrix. This method, by presenting four possible combinations of these variables, allowed for the identification and analysis of different futures and the development of diverse scenarios. These scenarios include stagnation and inertia, gradual and limited progress, increasing gap and dissatisfaction, and sustainable development and flourishing of women's health-oriented sports. Subsequently, practical strategies to achieve the desired scenario (sustainable development and flourishing) were presented in six areas: economic, social, cultural, political, technological, and macro-level.
Keywords
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